VIETNAM
OVERCOMES DIFFICULTIES

to achieve export success

NDO - Despite facing severe impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic, Vietnam’s export sector has weathered unprecedented difficulties to achieve an impressive growth rate in 2021.

Total export revenues this year are expected to reach over 300 billion USD, up 17% from 2020. The export-import value is also forecasted to establish a new record of 660 billion USD, making Vietnam one of the world’s 20 largest economies in terms of international trade.

Countless difficulties

Since the early months of 2021, the highly contagious Delta variant has seriously affected many countries throughout the world, especially developing ones with limited vaccine supplies. In Vietnam, the fourth wave spread to major industrial centres throughout the country such as Ho Chi Minh City, Binh Duong, Dong Nai, Bac Giang and Bac Ninh. Hundreds of enterprises had to suspend their operations or reorganise their production.

A factory producing garments for exports at May 10 Garment Company

Manufacturing yarn products at Jasan Vietnam

A factory producing garments for exports at May 10 Garment Company

Manufacturing yarn products at Jasan Vietnam

Curtailed business activities led to serious disruptions in exports during the peak of the outbreak back in August and September, especially at a time when goods should be manufactured for Christmas and New Year’s shopping season in the EU and US markets. Manufacturers also faced challenges in restoring their production after restrictions were lifted. As a result, merchandise exports fell 2.3% in August and a further 2% in September.

Difficulties also came from rising input costs, with the prices of petrol, steel, plastics, fertilisers and animal feed all soaring in the global market. In addition, higher logistics and warehouse costs, along with the shortage of shipping containers, added to enterprises’ production costs. According to the Drewry World Container Index, container prices in September 2021 rose eight times compared with two years earlier.

Commenting on the export picture in 2021, Deputy Minister of Industry and Trade Tran Quoc Khanh stated that the severe impacts of COVID-19 made 2021 a difficult year for all sectors of the economy, including export and trade promotion activities in particular. In the past year, activities such as trade fairs, exhibitions and trade connection events were all disrupted, especially during the social distancing period.

To cope with the negative effects of COVID-19, early in the second quarter, the Prime Minister directed the Ministry of Industry and Trade to formulate a plan to develop sustainable exports in the final months of 2021 and the first months of 2022, with many breakthrough measures to boost export and remove the short-term difficulties. Such measures were also included in a June resolution on promoting economic growth in the final months of 2021 and early months of 2022 for ministries, agencies and localities to implement.

When the COVID-19 outbreak worsened with rising cases and the imposition of lockdown and distancing in the southern region, the Prime Minister also directed ministries and agencies to establish special working groups to promptly receive the feedback of localities and enterprises in the efforts to fight against coronavirus and ensure the movement of goods. Then the Ministry of Industry and Trade presented reports to the Prime Minister to address many problems such as the logjam of goods at Cat Lai Port, difficulties in selling rice and transporting goods.

Information on trade activities through land border gates were also constantly updated. Ministries and agencies worked with border localities to propose many measures to regulate goods at border gate areas, organise meetings with trade associations to understand their difficulties in production and export activities.

It is obvious that the economy in general and the trade of goods in particular had to face unprecedented challenges due to the rapid and extensive spread of coronavirus. Therefore, the implementation of policies and measures requires prompt adjustments to meet the reality. In such a context, the MOIT and other ministries worked closely with localities to minimise the impacts of the pandemic as well as prevention measures on the production and export activities of enterprises.

Export makes a breakthrough with many highlights

Thanks to the initiative of overcoming difficulties within the business community, together with efforts of ministries, sectors and local authorities, export activities have overcome challenges to break through with impressive results.

According to inter-ministerial estimates, the total export turnover in the first 11 months of this year was estimated at 299.67 billion USD, up 17.5% over the same period last year, of which the domestic economic sector posted 78.99 billion USD, up 11.1%, accounting for 26.4% of total export turnover. The foreign-investment sector (including crude oil) reported total revenues of 220.68 billion USD, up 20% over the same period last year and accounting for 73.6% of total export revenue. This is a positive result compared to the scenario (export growth in 2021 was projected at 4-5%) set out in the Action Programme to implement Resolution No. 01/NQ-CP of the Ministry of Industry and Trade.

According to economist Vu Dinh Anh, in the context of the international market facing many difficulties and the domestic economy being seriously affected by the fourth wave of the COVID-19 pandemic, the total import and export turnover still reached a new record of more than 600 billion USD and the export growth was nearly 20%, which is a miracle. Notably, this is not only an increase in quantity but also the quality of export growth is also worthy of attention. The list of export products included 34 groups of goods with export turnover of over one billion USD each and seven groups of goods with export turnover of over 10 billion USD each.

In addition, the structure of exporting goods has been changed positively, in line with the set strategic goals as the group of processed industrial products continues to be the main driving force in export growth, accounting for 86.1% of the total export turnover (estimated at 257.4 billion USD). This is a very bright overview, helping the economy not only stand firm against the “storm” of the pandemic, but also accelerate the recovery in the near future.

Hai Phong Port

Hai Phong Port

The items that have made great contributions to the growth of export turnover are phones and components, estimated at 51.6 billion USD (up 10.7%), computers, electronic products and components estimated at 45.1 billion USD (up 11.9%), other machinery, equipment, tools and spare parts estimated at 33.6 billion USD (up 39.8%), furniture products made from materials other than wood estimated at 2.5 billion USD (up 47.6%), and iron and steel estimated at 10.8 billion USD (up 129.8%). In regards to textiles and footwear, two commodity groups heavily affected by the pandemic in 2020, have recovered with an estimated turnover of 28.8 billion USD and 15.4 billion USD respectively, up 6.7% and 2.6% over the same period last year.

Export products are also more diversified. By the end of November, 34 groups of commodities posted export turnovers of over one billion USD each, of which seven groups recorded export revenues of over 10 billion USD each, such as phones and components (51.6 billion USD, up 10.7% over the same period in 2020), computers, electronic products and components (USD 45.1 billion, up 11.9%), other machinery, equipment, tools and spare parts (33.6 billion USD, up 39.8%), iron and steel (10.8 billion USD, up 129.8%). In particular, textiles and footwear which were heavily affected by the pandemic in 2020 have recovered with expansion in turnover compared to 2020.

The production of electronic circuit boards at 4P Co., Ltd (Van Giang, Hung Yen)

The production of electronic circuit boards at 4P Co., Ltd (Van Giang, Hung Yen)

Notably, the trade balance, after a long period of trade surplus, turned to a trade deficit in the first months of the year. The reason for the trade deficit came from limitations in exports due to the fourth wave of the COVID-19 pandemic, while imports tended to increase (rise in volume due to increasing demand for production input materials, increasing prices of raw materials in the world market, and the wave of investment shift by multinational companies, leading to a surge in the demand for imported machinery and equipment). However, since October 2021, when exports were restored, thanks to the removal of social distancing in many localities, the trade balance recorded a trade surplus of 2.7 billion USD in October, leading to a 10-month trade surplus of 125 million USD. According to inter-ministerial estimates, the 11-month trade surplus is estimated at 325 million USD.

Exports to most markets expanded, compared to the same period last year, especially markets that have signed Free Trade Agreements (FTA) with Vietnam. Vietnam’s export revenue to the US market reached 76.8 billion USD in the first 10 months, a year-on-year increase of 23%, followed by China at 44.5 billion USD, up 17.5%, the EU at 32.1 billion USD, up 10.5%, and ASEAN at 23.2 billion USD, up 22.6%. Regarding the Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership (CPTPP), Vietnam’s export turnover to member markets saw positive growth such as 10-month export revenues to Canada reaching 4.2 billion USD, up 17.6% over the previous year, to Mexico at 3.8 billion USD, up 43.9%, and to Peru at 449.3 million USD, up 84.3%. Exports to the UK market also recorded an increase of 14.5%, reporting 4.7 billion USD in the first 10 months of the year.

Import and export will set a new record. At this time, it can be forecast that Vietnam's total import-export turnover will reach about 640 - 645 billion USD in 2021 and the trade balance will remain at a slight trade surplus. This is a great achievement because we have been heavily impacted by the COVID-19 pandemic, caused by the Delta variant in 2021. In particular, the pandemic has directly hit the region that is the driving force of commodity production in both the North and the South.
Tran Thanh Hai, Deputy Director of the Import-Export Department (the Ministry of Industry and Trade)

Opportunities and challenges intertwined

Economic expert Nguyen Dinh Cung said that exports are a rare bright spot for Vietnam's economy in 2021. Despite being heavily affected, import-export turnover for the whole year is forecasted to still set a new record, putting Vietnam in the group of 20 leading economies in terms of international trade. Many forecasts show that the demand for exported goods from Vietnam are still high. Therefore, import and export turnover in 2022 may improve better than in 2021 and exports will continue to be the driving force for economic growth and recovery.

According to the Import-Export Department, in the coming 2022, export activities will continue to have certain advantages. It is the fact that countries are vigorously deploying vaccines along with easing social distancing measures that will restore people's consumption and demand for imported goods, including Vietnamese products.

The FTAs, especially the new generation FTAs, have passed the initial stage of implementation. Businesses will make better use of the incentives provided by the agreements to boost exports. Positive results from the implementation of a series of government support solutions for businesses affected by the Covid-19 epidemic will promote a strong recovery in production. The wave of investment shifting to restructure the supply chains of corporations will be the new driving force of export growth.

But it also comes with many challenges. In particular, herd immunity cannot be achieved in the short term; the emergence of new strains of the virus with a continued spread rate will also be of great risk to the economy and society. Political and commercial conflicts between countries are still unpredictable. The sharp increase in commodity prices causes imports to increase, of which it is especially noteworthy in regards to raw materials for production, which can increase input costs. The impact of the epidemic has also had a negative effect on the shipping industry when freight costs are high and there is a shortage of shipping containers.

Manufacturing jackets for export at Hung Ha Garment Factory in Thai Binh Province (Photo: Dang Anh)
Logistic activities at My Dinh Inland Container Depot in Hanoi (Photo: Duy Linh)
Freight operations. (Photo: Duy Linh)

Faced with that situation, in order to continue to maintain the upward momentum as well as promote import and export activities in 2022 and the following years, the Ministry of Industry and Trade has been coordinating with associations and industries to propose a series of solutions to restore production and exports in the new context, in parallel with economic recovery solutions of the Government and other ministries and branches, to ensure the uniformity of policies. The focus of the solutions is to accompany businesses, to urgently remove obstacles in the process of reorganising production and business to shorten the recovery time.

The Ministry of Industry and Trade will also focus on implementing a series of other solutions such as organising the effective exploitation of FTAs to expand and diversify export markets, and at the same time support enterprises to make effective use of opportunities; promoting the simplification of administrative procedures; coordinating with relevant ministries and branches to complete the trade infrastructure system, increase connectivity in the service of goods circulation for production and export, and reduce logistics costs, while closely coordinating with border provinces in implementing plans to improve efficiency and regulate the speed of customs clearance of import and export goods at the border gate area between Vietnam and China, especially with seasonal agricultural and aquatic products.

Trade promotion activities will be enhanced and deployed in the online format instead of traditional activities; support to improve trade promotion capacity in the digital environment for businesses to adapt to the new situation.

Deputy Secretary General of the Vietnam Association of Seafood Exporters and Producers (VASEP) Nguyen Hoai Nam

Deputy Secretary General of the Vietnam Association of Seafood Exporters and Producers (VASEP) Nguyen Hoai Nam

According to Deputy Secretary General of the Vietnam Association of Seafood Exporters and Producers (VASEP) Nguyen Hoai Nam, in 2022, said the demand for food and seafood in particular will increase when the hotel group recovers. In order to support the industry to continue to grow well, the Ministry of Industry and Trade should consider restarting the interrupted activities of organising and participating in traditional fairs. In addition, it is necessary to continue to strengthen B2B online activities to reach potential markets such as Russia, Australia, and Mexico; and strengthen the promotion of providing information about the industry in the application of information technology.

According to Deputy Secretary General of the VASEP Nguyen Hoai Nam, currently, many seafood enterprises still do not have enough attention and investment in digitizing trade promotion activities, partly due to the constant annual investment costs, another reason is the lack of human resources with expertise in technology. Therefore, if there is a national portal to promote key export industries, it will be a practical support tool for businesses in the post-COVID-19 development period.

Experts recommend that, for the business community, the prerequisite to ensure the sustainable growth of exports is to innovate production activities, create a source of great quality goods, with added value and high scientific and technological content, featuring a fast and strong shift to official export. In the context of the complicated development of the COVID-19 epidemic, businesses need to be flexible in organising production to meet safe production goals, regularly monitor to capture information from markets to plan and adjust import and export activities flexibly, avoiding risks when markets fluctuate.

Production manager: THU HA
Content: TO HA, VIET HAI
Design: DANG PHI, BIEN DIEU
Photos: DUY LINH